Tag Archives: Rasmussen

One day to election, what do the polls say?

Vote for love of country vs. Vote for revenge

Obama support among Catholics collapsing

Joel Pollak reports for Breitbart, Nov. 1, 2012, that a Pew poll says Obama’s lead among Catholic voters has declined from 54-39 in September 2012 to a mere two-point lead, 48-46. Among white Catholics, Romney has jumped to a 14-point lead (54-40) after being tied with Obama in September. To understand just how significant that is, consider that in 2008, Obama won Catholics by 9% (54 to 45) and lost white Catholics by just 5% (47 to 52). In 2004, the Catholic vote went narrowly to Bush overall (more widely among white Catholics), and in 2000 it went narrowly to Gore (and narrowly to Bush among white Catholics). The 14-point lead Romney currently enjoys among white Catholics is almost without precedent.

Hurricane Sandy has helped the POS

But a new poll by the Pew Research Center, one of the more reliable pollsters, showed the POS has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign, helped by his perceived handling of superstorm Sandy. Obama now leads Romney 48% to 45% nationwide, among likely voters. Pew estimates that in the final tally, Obama will take 50% of the popular vote to 47% for Romney. The modest lead for Obama marks a shift from a week ago when the two were tied on 47% before Sandy. Among likely voters, 69% said they approved of Obama’s handling of the storm.

Other polls show a very tight race

Rasmussen: Romney 49% vs. Obama 48% among likely voters nationwide.

ABC/Washington Post: Obama 49% vs. Romney 48% among likely voters nationwide.

Gallup: Romney 48% vs. Obama 48% among likely voters in the “swing” battleground states.

CNN: 49-49 tie, but CNN’s sample is skewed in favor of Democrats (a D+11 sample). By comparison, the electorate in 2008, when Obama-mania was at its peak, was merely D+7, according to exit polls.

Polls of some battleground states:

~Eowyn

Romney surges ahead of POS in latest polls!

45th President of the United States of America (2013-2020)

The polls are looking worse and worse for Obama:

1. Gallup’s latest national poll of likely voters: 51% Romney v. 45% Obama.

2. Romney has closed a 26-point gap and is surging ahead of Obama in favorability ratings:

  • In March 2012, Pew Research Center had Obama’s favorable rating at 55% vs. Romney’s 29%. But now, it’s Romney 50% vs. Obama 49%.
  • Gallup also has Romney beating Obama on the favorability rating, 52% to 51%.
  • Even the liberal DailyKos/SEIU/PPP poll has Romney beating Obama on the fave rating, 49% to 46%.

3. Romney is now leading in three battleground states:

4. RealClearPolitics’s 2012 electoral map gives a plurality of Electoral College votes to Romney: 206 Romney v. 201 Obama (131 toss ups)

Former Democratic strategist Bob Beckel on Fox News’ “The Five” today:  “It’s over. If these numbers are true, it’s over.”

Keep praying, friends!

Pray for Romney! Pray for America!

~Eowyn

Obama’s Poll Numbers Take a Nosedive…Again

New Poll Numbers Show Obama’s Post-Bin Laden Bump is Over

by Jeff Dunetz

Sorry Mr. President, the party is over. Less than two weeks after Osama Bin Laden was killed by a squad of hero Navy Seals, the bump in Obama’s ratings has disappeared, in fact the latest Rasmussen poll shows that some of his numbers are worse than before.

For example the chart below reflects the President’s approval index from the day the Bin Laden news was released though today.  Approval index represents the people who strongly approve of the President’s performance minus the people who strongly disapprove. So it is an indication of the people most passionate about President’s performance, these are the people who are most likely to work toward/against Re-election of the present POTUS.

Keep in mind, the Bin Laden news was released well after the May 2nd sample was taken and released. Rasmussen numbers reflect three days sampling ending with the day prior to the numbers being released so, for example for the May 4th numbers only one third of the sample was questioned after the Bin Laden death was reported.  It was not until May 6th that the entire sample had the possibility of being aware of the death of Bin Laden.

On May 2nd, the day Bin Laden was killed the President’s approval index was at a -12. From there it generally rose through May 7th, and started falling through today’s report which shows him back at a -12.

Overall approval and disapproval numbers show the same pattern.

Prior to Bin Laden’s trip to hell, Rasmussen reported that President’s overall approval/disapproval numbers were both at 49%, today his disapproval stands at 52% and approval stands at 48%

What should be even more troubling to the President should be the fact that his numbers among independents are not promising (the Oth column in the chart below boxed in red)

Among independents, the president’s approval index is at a minus 22, and almost 70% of independents believe that the country is on the wrong track.

Over-all President Obama received (and frankly deserved) an approval bounce based on the Navy Seals heroic action eliminating Osama Bin Laden as a threat to this country.  As the saying all good things must pass, but nobody expected things to pass so quickly.

But this is a nation which is on the precipice of a financial abyss. As soon as the joy that Bin Laden is no longer a threat passed, the weekly new unemployment claims figure shot up and the monthly unemployment percentage rose back to 9%.  These number shocked America out of its post Bin Laden euphoria and back into the reality that Barack Obama has mis-handled the economy.  Look for his numbers to continue to fall as long as the economy continues to falter.

Posted by Tom in NC

Harry Reid Is Mentally Ill

“But for me, we’d be in a worldwide depression.”

Demonrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (Nevada) said this on October 21, 2010 on MSNBC.

Such narcissistic delusions of grandeur are symptomatic of a severe mental illness. That 47% of Nevadans in the latest Rasmussen poll (Oct. 18) say they will vote for Reid is symptomatic of their own mental illness, or their willful ignorance, or just plain corruption.

H/t BreitbartTV and beloved Fellowship co-founder Steve.

~Eowyn